Analyst: Election Polls Underestimating Republican Margins By 5%
View Source | October 27, 2022 4:05 pm
- The polls they are a changin’.
- In a generic ballot released this week by USA Today, Republicans are up four points over Democrats, 49-45.
- That’s a huge change from USA Today’s previous poll in July when Democrats led Republicans 44-40.
- So voters are clearly moving hard — and picking Republican candidates. But the polls are still underestimating the GOP strength, one pollster says.
- “I think the ‘polling averages’ are going to end up (on average) underestimating the Republican margins by a net of 5%,” Mason-Dixon Polling Managing Director Brad Coker told The Daily Wire in an email.
- “I think the GOP will end up with 54 Senate seats. I don’t track House races district-by-district, but I generally think the Republican Party will net a gain of somewhere between 25 and 35 seats.”
Continue to Article
Share This Article: