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Cook Report: 6 States Shift Right As Trump ‘Has A Clear Advantage Over Biden’

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Chesapeake, Va., Friday, June 28, 2024. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)

Electoral College ratings for six states have shifted toward Republicans in former President Donald Trump‘s favor as the fate of President Joe Biden’s political future as the Democrats’ nominee remains on shifting sands.

The Cook Political Report shifted three states — Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada — from “toss-up” to “lean Republican” and shifted two other states, Minnesota and New Hampshire, from “likely” to “lean Democrat.” Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District also shifted from “likely” to “lean” Democrat.

“The notion that the presidential [race] is a Toss Up was a stretch even before the debate,” the Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman said of the electoral map. “Today, Trump has a clear advantage over Biden and a much more plausible path to 270 Electoral votes.”

The election analyst cites Biden’s poor debate performance on June 27 as a reason for the rating shifts. The president’s lackluster display onstage has called into question whether he is the right presidential candidate to help the party defeat Trump. After a lengthy meeting between House Democrats earlier on Tuesday, the answer is still unclear and there is no consensus.

“Insiders we spoke with over the weekend said they expected a ‘deluge’ of Democratic congressional defections by Monday,” Cook Political Report Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter said in her analysis. “As of Tuesday morning, those desertions have amounted to no more than a trickle. Even so, plenty of nervous down-ballot Democrats and donors are hoping that team Biden, confronted with worsening poll numbers and an aggressively antagonistic press corps, will see the writing on the wall and gracefully announce his exit from the contest. That possibility looks remote as of this writing.

“We can’t wave away the uncertainty of this moment, but we can try to soberly assess where things stand today, and where they are likely to go from here,” Walter continued.

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