Masters Pulls Into Dead Heat With Kelly: Trafalgar

The poll by the Trafalgar group from Sept. 14-to 17 shows Arizona GOP Senate nominee Blake Master with 45.4% of vote compared to 46.6% for incumbent Democrat Sen. Mark Kelly but within survey's margin of error.

  • A poll last week showed Kelly leading by 9 points.
  • Trafalgar poll surveyed 1,080 likely 2022 general election voters and had a 2.9% margin of error.
  • Kelly is running in state that went from largely Republican to more Democratic, with Biden narrowly winning there in 2020.
  • But Arizona voters have concerns about surge of migrants coming from its Mexico border and Biden administration border policies, creating headwinds for Kelly.
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