Democrats hold the early advantage in the battle for Congress, buoyed by a favorable political environment, strong fundraising, and a string of recruiting wins.
But beneath the surface, Republicans see a different picture taking shape — one where structural advantages, a favorable Senate map, and late-breaking legal fights over redistricting could still tilt control of Capitol Hill.
The Supreme Court‘s Wednesday ruling watering down the Voting Rights Act’s protection of majority-minority districts could boost the GOP’s redistricting efforts and help them keep control of the House.
With just months to go until the 2026 midterm elections, the contours of the race are coming into focus: Democrats may have the momentum, but Republicans still have a path.
