Not So Fast: GOP’s Candidates Still Lead Dems’ In Trafalga Poll

Poll by Trafalga Group is what is known as a "generic poll," which essentially asked would you vote for a GOP or Democrat candidate in November.

  • Among respondents, 47.2% picked Republican candidate, 41.4% picked Democrat candidate, while 11.4% were undecided.
  • In recent weeks, some election handicappers have speculated Republicans will still win House but with fewer seats and downgraded GOP’s chances of winning Senate.
  • Factors related to perception Democrats are surging include slight increase in President Biden’s approval numbers, after having gotten key legislation passed in Congress.
  • Another factor is steady decline in gas prices.
  • Poll conducted Aug. 8-30 among 1,084 likely General Election voters, with a 2.9% margin of error.
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