Freshman Rep. George Santos topping the CQ Roll Call list of the most vulnerable House incumbents is no surprise.

Santos was found after elected in November 2022 to have largely fabricated in resume, and he’s also a Republican who represents a district Democrat President Biden won by 8 percentage points.

Six other GOP incumbents are also on the list, along with three Democrats.

Campaign insiders and election analysts think the path for controlling the lower chamber will go through New York and California.