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Hawaii Volcano Eruption Warning

FILE - This photo provided by the U.S. Geological Survey shows the inside of the summit crater of the Kilauea Volcano, Jan. 6, 2023. Hawaii's second-largest volcano is likely to resume erupting soon after a three-month hiatus. The U.S. Geological Survey said Saturday, March 11, 2023, that a shallow earthquake storm had been detected under the summit of Kilauea. (U.S. Geological Survey via AP, File)

Uncertainty is surrounding the Hawaiian volcano Kīlauea as scientists report an uptick in earthquakes in the region.

The volcano is not erupting, but a “significant spike” in earthquakes has prompted the closure of the Hawaii Volcanoes National Park as a precautionary measure, the park said in a statement. This is because if the volcano does erupt it could put visitors and staff at risk.

“Safety is our main focus, and the uncertainty of where an eruption could break out increases risk,” Jack Corrao, the chief ranger at the park, said in the statement. “Elevated volcanic gases, dangerous lava activity, damaging earthquakes and lava-ignited wildfire are all potential hazards associated with an eruption.”

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) cannot yet say whether the increased earthquakes will lead to an eruption. Although they can be a sign of an upcoming eruption, they are difficult to predict and can sometimes peter off.

However “the gradual strengthening of seismic swarm” does suggest that an eruption could occur at Kīlauea’s summit or below the upper East Rift Zone, the USGS said.

Around 360 shallow earthquakes of magnitude 1 to 3 have occurred in the past 24 hours, according to the park, and have “ping-ponged” from south of the caldera to the upper East Rift Zone across Chain of Craters Road near Puhimau Crater. This is only “adding to the uncertainty of where an eruption could occur.”

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