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They Did It! Chicago Crime To Hit Post-COVID Record, Up Nearly 60%

  • There’s not enough data yet to make any claims about the impact of Illinois’ elimination of cash bail, part of the SAFE-T Act implemented just two months ago. But we do know two facts that spell trouble for the city in 2024:
  • Total 2023 major crimes in Chicago will end up about 60% over 2019, a post-covid record, and;
  • Cook County’s jail population is at its lowest level in more than 40 years.
  • Despite that, where Chicago crime heads next year is still tough to guess. Has Chicago’s “crime wave” hit a peak and begun to flatten or trend down, as murders appear to be doing? Or will Chicago’s decarcerationist trend – supported by the end of cash bail and Mayor Johnson’s soft-on-crime policies – embolden criminals to do more?
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